Boise, Idaho
Boise, the largest of two metropolitan areas in
Idaho, is the State capital as well as a regional
shopping and medical service center for southwest
Idaho and northeast Oregon. During the 1990s,
Boise also became one of the Northwest’s major
high-technology employment centers; in a survey
by the American Electronics Association, the city
ranked second among small cities in high-technology
growth between 1993 and 1998. The area’s strong
labor market as well as quality-of-life factors such
as clean air, minimal traffic congestion, low crime
rates, and proximity to the Rocky Mountains resulted
in dramatic population growth during the 1990s;
during this 10-year period, Boise ranked seventh
highest in population growth among all metropolitan
areas in the Nation. At the time of the 2000
census, the population was 432,345, a 46.1-percent
increase from 1990. The average annual rate of
population growth and household growth over the
period was 3.9 percent.
Nonagricultural employment in the Boise metropolitan
area averaged 231,200 workers for the 12 months
ending in March 2002, up 3.3 percent compared
with a year ago, according to data released by the
Idaho Department of Employment. Job growth was
confined primarily to the service-producing sector,
where health services, professional services, and
finance, insurance, and real estate accounted for
nearly 80 percent of local job creation. The national
manufacturing recession sent employment in Boise’s
manufacturing sector into a downturn starting at
midyear 2001, with the industrial machinery and
electrical equipment industries suffering the greatest
losses. The Idaho State economist’s most recent
forecast calls for employment losses in the manufacturing
sector to continue through the second quarter
of 2002. Following job losses in both manufacturing
and trade, the unemployment rate rose from 3.2 percent
to 4.3 percent from March 2001 to March 2002.
Low interest rates and steady population growth
continued to spur sales of existing and newly constructed
homes in the Boise metro area. According
to the Ada County Association of REALTORS®,
1,909 homes were sold during the first 3 months
of 2002, up 2.4 percent compared with a year ago.
The median sales price was $124,600, up 3.9 percent
for the year. New home sales totaled 748
through March 2002, unchanged from the same
period a year ago. The median sales price of a new
home in the Boise metropolitan area was $136,000,
up 4 percent compared with the first 3 months of
2001. Approximately 30 percent of all homes sold
were priced at or below $100,000, whereas only 12
percent were offered at prices above $200,000. The
inventory of unsold homes in March was equal
to a 5.5-month supply, up from a 4-month supply
in March 2001.
In response to weakening economic conditions,
single-family permit activity for 2001 slowed to
5,006 units, just 11 units short of the total for 2000
but 6.2 percent below the record number of permits
issued in 1999. Through March 2002, 1,117 permits
were issued for single-family construction, off 9.3
percent compared with the same period in 2001.
Weakening labor market conditions, low interest
rates, and the dramatic increase in apartment construction
activity have created a soft rental market
in the Boise area. At the time of the 2000 census,
the Ada County rental vacancy rate was 5.1 percent.
Recent surveys of the rental apartment market by
Ada Real Estate show the vacancy rate for Ada
County increasing from 2.7 percent in January 2001
to 9.2 percent in January 2002. For one-bedroom
units the vacancy rate was 7.3 percent compared
with 1.9 percent a year ago. The two-bedroom
vacancy rate was 10.2 percent, and the threebedroom
rate stood at 10.4 percent, up dramatically
from a year ago, when each bedroom size had a
vacancy rate in the 3-percent range.
Multifamily building permit activity during 2001
totaled 1,099 units compared with 512 units in
2000 and 784 in 1999. Through March 2002, 166
multifamily units were authorized for construction
compared with 501 units for the same period in
2001. As of March 2002, there were 945 apartments
under construction, and 355 units were completed
during the fourth quarter of 2001. Owing to both the
large number of vacant units in the existing rental
stock and the surge in the number of apartments
recently completed and under construction, the
vacancy rate is expected to remain in the 9- to 10-percent range for the next 12 months.
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