HOUSING MARKETING
Home
Sales*
Sales of new single-family homes totaled 911,000 units at a seasonally
adjusted annual rate (SAAR) in the second quarter of 2001, down a statistically
insignificant 4 percent from the previous quarter but up 10 percent
from the second quarter of 2000. The number of new homes for sale at
the end of June 2001 was 292,000 units, up a statistically insignificant
1 percent from the past quarter but down 5 percent from the second quarter
of 2000. At the end of June, inventories represented a 3.9 months
supply at the current sales rate, no change from
the end of the previous quarter but down 19 percent from the second
quarter of 2000.
Sales of existing single-family homes for the second quarter of 2001
reported by the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® totaled 5,303,000
(SAAR), up 1 percent from the first quarter of 2001 and up 4 percent
from the second quarter of 2000. The number of units for sale at the
end of the second quarter was 1,680,000, 6 percent above the previous
quarter and 27 percent above the second quarter of 2000. At the end
of the second quarter, a 3.8 months supply of units remained,
9 percent above the previous quarter and 23 percent above the second
quarter of a year ago.
|
Latest
Quarter
|
Previous
Quarter
|
Same Quarter
Previous Year
|
% Change
From Previous Quarter
|
% Change
From Last Year
|
New
Homes
|
New Homes
Sold
|
911
|
950
|
830
|
- 4**
|
+ 10
|
For Sale
|
292
|
289
|
307
|
+ 1**
|
- 5**
|
Months' Supply
|
3.9
|
3.9
|
4.8
|
—
|
- 19
|
Existing
Homes
|
Existing
Homes Sold
|
5,303
|
5,273
|
5,117
|
+ 1
|
+ 4
|
For Sale
|
1,680
|
1,580
|
1,320
|
+ 6
|
+ 27
|
Months' Supply
|
3.8
|
3.5
|
3.1
|
+ 9
|
+ 23
|
*Units in thousands.
**This change is not statistically significant.
Sources: New: Bureau of the Census, Department of Commerce;
and Office of Policy Development and Research, Department of
Housing and Urban Development. Existing: NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
OF REALTORS ® |
Home
Prices
The median price of new homes during the second quarter of 2001 increased
to $172,200, up a statistically insignificant 1 percent from the previous
quarter, and rose above the second quarter of 2000 by 6 percent. The
average price of new homes sold during the second quarter of 2001 was
$207,100, down a statistically insignificant 2 percent from the first
quarter of 2001 but up a statistically insignificant 2 percent from
the second quarter a year ago.
The median price of existing single-family homes in the second quarter
of 2001 was $146,900, 5 percent higher than the first quarter of 2001
and 6 percent above the same quarter a year ago, according to the NATIONAL
ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. The average price of existing homes, $184,600,
increased 5 percent from the previous quarter and was up 5 percent from
the second quarter of 2000.
|
Latest
Quarter
|
Previous
Quarter
|
Same Quarter
Previous Year
|
% Change
From Previous Quarter
|
% Change
From Last Year
|
New
Homes
|
Median
|
$172,200
|
$169,800
|
$163,200
|
+ 1**
|
+ 6
|
Average
|
$207,100
|
$211,000
|
$202,400
|
- 2**
|
+ 2**
|
Constant-Quality
House1
|
NA
|
NA
|
$192,600
|
NA
|
NA
|
Existing
Homes
|
Median
|
$146,900
|
$139,700
|
$138,000
|
+ 5
|
+ 6
|
Average
|
$184,600
|
$176,600
|
$176,100
|
+ 5
|
+ 5
|
**This change is not statistically significant.
1 The quarterly data series for the constant-quality house
has been discontinued by the Bureau of the Census. Annual data
is still being published. The values for the set of physical characteristics
used for the constant-quality house have been revised based on
a
1996 base year. |
Housing
Affordability
Housing affordability is the ratio of median family income to the
income needed to purchase the median-priced home based on current interest
rates and underwriting standards, expressed as an index. The NATIONAL
ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® composite index value for the second quarter
of 2001 shows that families earning the median income have 138.4 percent
of the income needed to purchase the median-priced existing home. This
figure is down 3 percent from the first-quarter 2001 index but up 9
percent from the second quarter of 2000.
The second-quarter decrease in the housing affordability index is the
result of changes in the marketplace. The national average home mortgage
interest rate for existing single-family homes has declined 6 basis
points from the previous quarter to an interest rate of 7.15 percent.
A year ago the average mortgage rate was 8.19 percent . The median price
of existing single-family homes increased 5.1 percent from the first
quarter of 2001, while the median family income rose 1.2 percent from
the previous quarter.
The fixed-rate index decreased 3 percent from the first-quarter 2001
index but was up 11 percent from the second quarter of 2000.
|
Latest
Quarter
|
Previous
Quarter
|
Same Quarter
Previous Year
|
% Change
From Previous Quarter
|
% Change
From Last Year
|
Composite
Index
|
138.4
|
142.8
|
126.6
|
- 3
|
+ 9
|
Fixed-Rate
Index
|
138.5
|
143.2
|
124.5
|
- 3
|
+ 11
|
Adjustable-Rate
Index
|
148.8
|
152.3
|
137.5
|
- 2
|
+ 8
|
Source: NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® |
Apartment
Absorptions
There were 43,500 new, unsubsidized, unfurnished, multifamily (5 or
more units in structure) rental apartments completed in the first quarter
of 2001, down 20 percent from the previous quarter and down a statistically
insignificant 12 percent from the first quarter of 2000. Of the apartments
completed in the first quarter of 2001, 66 percent were rented within
3 months. This absorption rate is a statistically insignificant 1 percent
below the previous quarter and 10 percent below the same quarter in
the previous year. The median asking rent for apartments completed in
the first quarter was $889, which is a statistically insignificant 3
percent above the previous quarter and 12 percent above a year earlier.
|
Latest
Quarter
|
Previous
Quarter
|
Same Quarter
Previous Year
|
% Change
From Previous Quarter
|
% Change
From Last Year
|
Apartments
Completed*
|
43.5
|
54.1
|
49.7
|
- 20
|
- 12**
|
Percent Absorbed
Next Quarter
|
66
|
67
|
73
|
- 1**
|
- 10
|
Median Rent
|
$889
|
$864
|
$797
|
+ 3**
|
+ 12
|
*Units in thousands.
**This change is not statistically significant.
Sources: Bureau of the Census, Department of Commerce; and Office
of Policy Development and Research, HUD. |
Manufactured
(Mobile) Home Placements
Manufactured homes placed onsite ready for occupancy in the first quarter
of 2001 totaled 183,000 at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, 13 percent
below the level of the previous quarter and 37 percent below the first
quarter of 2000. The number of homes for sale on dealers lots
at the end of the first quarter totaled 67,000 units, 4 percent below
the previous quarter and 24 percent below the same quarter of 2000.
The average sales price of the units sold in the first quarter was $47,800,
a statistically insignificant 2 percent below the previous quarter but
a statistically insignificant 6 percent above the first-quarter 2000
price.
|
Latest
Quarter
|
Previous
Quarter
|
Same Quarter
Previous Year
|
% Change
From Previous Quarter
|
% Change
From Last Year
|
Placements*
|
183
|
210
|
288
|
- 13
|
- 37
|
On Dealer
Lots*
|
67
|
70
|
88
|
- 4
|
- 24
|
Average Sales
Price
|
$47,800
|
$48,600
|
$45,200
|
- 2**
|
+ 6**
|
*Units in thousands. These are HUD-code homes
only and do not include manufactured housing units built to
meet local building codes, which are included in housing completions
figures.
**This change is not statistically significant.
Sources: Bureau of the Census, Department of Commerce; and Office
of Policy Development and Research, HUD. |
Builders'
Views of Housing Market Activity
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) conducts a
monthly survey focusing on builders views of the level of sales
activity and their expectations for the near future. NAHB uses these
survey responses to construct indices of housing market activity. (The
index values range from 0 to 100.) The second-quarter value for the
index of current market activity for single-family detached houses stood
at 62, unchanged from the first quarter but down 4 points from 2000s
second quarter. The index for future sales expectations, 66, was up
2 points from the first-quarter value but unchanged from 2000s
level. Prospective buyer traffic had an index value of 42, which is
up 1 point from the first-quarter value but down 2 points from 2000s
second-quarter level. NAHB combines these separate indices into a single
housing market index that mirrors the three components quite closely.
In the second quarter, this index stood at 57, which is unchanged from
the first-quarter level but down 3 points from the value in 2000.
|
Latest
Quarter
|
Previous
Quarter
|
Same Quarter
Previous Year
|
% Change
From Previous Quarter
|
% Change
From Last Year
|
Housing Market
Index
|
57
|
57
|
60
|
—
|
- 5
|
Current Sales
Activity—
Single-Family
Detached
|
62
|
62
|
66
|
—
|
- 6
|
Future Sales
Expectations—
Single-Family
Detached
|
66
|
64
|
66
|
+ 3
|
—
|
Prospective
Buyer Traffic
|
42
|
41
|
44
|
+ 2
|
- 5
|
Source: National Association of Home Builders,
Builders Economic Council Survey |
|