On the whole, 1997 was a good year following a good year. The year ended on a high note as housing production and sales continued at high levels during the fourth quarter of 1997. Several records were broken or challenged in 1997:
On a quarterly basis, housing production levels continued to be high in 1997:
Housing marketing also continued at high levels in the recent quarter:
Conditions at the end of 1997 point to a good start in 1998:
Low interest rates led to favorable homeownership affordability gains in the fourth quarter of 1997 and to the highest annual homeownership rates ever recorded (despite a decrease in the fourth quarter). Interest rates in the fourth quarter of 1997 were down 28 basis points from the third quarter and down 50 basis points from the fourth quarter of 1996. Affordability improved in the fourth quarter of 1997 to the point that a family earning the median income had 131.7 percent of the income needed to purchase a median-priced existing home; this was 5.2 percentage points ahead of the third quarter's value. A favorable affordability situation, income growth, and solid economic conditions led to an annual homeownership rate of 65.7 percent, upsetting the old record of 65.6 percent set in 1980. The multifamily (5+ units) market was healthy in the fourth quarter of 1997, making it the best year in the decade for multifamily housing:
Regional PerspectiveHUD's field economists reported that all parts of the Nation neared the end of 1997 with healthy economies and housing markets. Moderate to strong employment increases were experienced in all regions and most had declining unemployment rates. The largest employment gains occurred in the Pacific and Northwest regions, both of which had growth rates near 3 percent. The Southeast and Southwest were next, with growth rates near 2.5 percent. Unemployment rates have reached historic lows in many of the large areas of the Midwest. The States in the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain regions are reporting extremely low rates, some below 3 percent. Homebuilding activity as measured by single-family building permits was down in 7 of the 10 regions in 1997. The declines, however, were just modestly off very strong 1996 totals for most of these regions. The New England, New York/New Jersey, and Pacific regions recorded gains in single-family permits last year. California's near-14-percent increase, spurred by its economic recovery, led the way in the Pacific. Data indicate that 1997 was another good year for home sales. All regions but the Rocky Mountain area report that sales of existing homes in 1997 through the fourth quarter exceeded last year's strong experience. Existing home sales in the New England and the Northwest regions were up a robust 12 percent. Rental markets remained firm to strong at year-end as the continued high levels of apartment construction are being successfully absorbed in most areas. Building permits for multifamily housing in 1997 increased by 16 percent in New England, stimulated by the recovery of rental markets in Connecticut. Market conditions remain balanced throughout the Mid-Atlantic, despite a 22-percent increase in multifamily housing construction. Florida led the Southeast with an increase of 28 percent, with multi-family permits in Orlando more than doubling from the previous year. The Southwest continued to record strong increases in multifamily housing construction. The region was up 21 percent for the year, led by Texas, particularly in the Dallas/Fort Worth and Houston areas, both of which are sustaining high occupancy levels in apartments. Multifamily permits in California increased by 43 percent in 1997. Tight market conditions in the San Francisco Bay Area have stimulated apartment construction there. Multifamily permits dropped by 13 percent in the Las Vegas market as the apartment vacancy rate moved up.
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