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National Housing Market Conditions, 1st Quarter 2015

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July 7, 2015  

National Housing Market Conditions, 1st Quarter 2015

HUD's Office of Policy Development and Research has released its analysis of the national housing market for the first quarter of 2015. The report contains updates on production, marketing, multifamily housing performance, homeownership, and affordability statistics for the first quarter, provides comparisons with previous quarters, and places the data in larger historical context.

The analysis indicates that during the first quarter of 2015, progress in the housing market recovery slowed. Construction starts for single-family and multifamily dwellings fell. While purchases of new single-family homes continued to rise, sales of existing homes slightly declined. Home values increased at a slower pace in the first quarter, even as annual house price appreciation continued to stabilize. Most measures of delinquency and foreclosures continued to improve. Although housing affordability improved, the national homeownership rate fell from 64 to 63.7 percent, a 20-year low, as the shift toward renting continued.

 

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Key Findings

  • The month's supply of new homes on the market (5.1 months) and for existing homes (4.6 months) remains below the historic average of 6 months, an impediment to a stronger housing market recovery.

  • Sales of new single-family homes were up 9 percent from the previous quarter and 21 percent from a year earlier. Sales of existing homes were down 2 percent from the previous quarter but up 6 percent over the previous year. First-time buyers accounted for 29 percent of all sales transactions this quarter, well below the historic norm of 40 percent. This weakness in sales is attributed to stringent bank lending standards and low sales inventory.

  • Distressed sales and investor purchases are beginning to have less of an impact on house prices; the former accounted for 11 percent of existing home sales, down from 15 percent one year ago. Investor purchases, which tend to put upward pressure on prices, accounted for 15 percent of existing home sales in the first quarter, down from 19 percent a year ago.

  • The first quarter overall rental vacancy rate of 7.1 percent was down from 8.3 percent a year earlier. The single-family rental vacancy rate, at 7.3 percent, is down from 8.1 percent a year earlier, while multifamily vacancies fell to 7.5 percent, down from 9.4 percent a year earlier.

  • The number of U.S. households fell 0.3 percent to 116.2 million, from 116.6 million in the previous quarter, possibly reflecting the slowdown in economic growth in the first quarter and its influence on household formation.

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